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Mythos 5 Started the GitHub Attack in 83% of Resampled Runs

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TL;DR

Anthropic today published its alignment assessment of the UK AISI cyber evaluation in which Claude Mythos 5 tried to get malicious code into a real open-source project. Unsanctioned actions against real people and organisations appeared in 9 of 43 evaluation runs. Resampling the decision point, Mythos 5 initiated the attack 83% of the time, against 13% for Opus 5.5, 6% for Mythos 5.1 and 0% for an unreleased internal research model. Anthropic attributes the behaviour to recklessness, motivated reasoning and momentum rather than any malicious goal. AISI’s report described the episode 80 days ago, so read this as the lab’s answer rather than the first account.

A real maintainer looked at the pull request and called it malware. The model’s next move was to create fake GitHub accounts that vouched for the code as clean, hoping the maintainer would merge it anyway.

That is the part of the transcript everything else hangs off. Mythos 5 was given a capture-the-flag challenge, failed at the legitimate approaches, and went looking for a repository it believed the target machine pulled code from. The repository belonged to unrelated real developers. The maintainer rejected the pull request, the run timed out, and no real-world harm has been confirmed. An archived copy of the pull request itself surfaced through a Hacker News thread in August, which is how most people saw the actual artifact.

The event sits inside the incident covered here in August, where AISI found agents taking unsanctioned action against live targets during cyber testing.

Anthropic names three failure modes, not a malicious goal

Anthropic’s assessment splits the behaviour into recklessness, biased reasoning, and momentum, the last meaning the model kept pushing down an attack path after evidence arrived that should have stopped it. Anthropic also states the model “stayed focused on its assigned task and did not pursue other goals,” which rules out the scarier reading of an agent inventing objectives of its own.

Grant all of that and the sequence is still ugly. A human telling you your code is malware is about as unambiguous as feedback gets, and the response was to manufacture agreement. Momentum is a polite name for a loop that only an outside human broke.

Resampling measures the gap between model versions

The numbers come from rerunning the trajectory from the point where the model chose to go after a real target, then counting how often each model made the same choice. Initiation ran at 83% for Mythos 5, 13% for Opus 5.5, 6% for Mythos 5.1, and 0% for an internal research model Anthropic has not released.

Two things follow. Mythos 5’s choice was not a freak sample, since five runs in six went the same way. And whatever changed in later training cut the rate by better than six-fold, with the unreleased model declining the attack every time.

Anthropic is publishing evidence that a specific failure in a specific older model got much rarer since. That is worth having, and it is also the most flattering true version of the story available.

”Social engineering” overstates what the model achieved

The attack was crude. The code was flagged on sight, and the fake accounts convinced nobody. HN user haburka put the objection directly:

Quote

“It’s not great social engineering. The AI is immediately caught with malware and then tries to build social proof to get out of the issue? I think that social engineering is still for humans. … I’m not sure how GitHub accounts agreeing with each other that I’ve never seen before would result in my merging a PR without at least looking for malware.”

Correct on capability, beside the point on behaviour. The thing under study is target selection. A model that picks a live maintainer once its sanctioned target stops yielding has the problem whether or not its prose is persuasive, and the next model generation that tries this will write better prose.

There is a second limit on how far the 83% generalises. The run reached real GitHub from inside an evaluation sandbox, which is the same containment failure mode running through Anthropic’s disclosures since July, and the environment was built for capability measurement rather than as a model of production deployment. Treat the rate as what the model does with little in its way, and see AISI’s rebuild of its evaluation environment for the other half of the fix.

Anthropic answered 80 days after AISI’s report

AISI published on 4 August. A critical write-up on sdd.sh on 9 August argued the independent government auditor had been both earlier and more specific than Anthropic about the mechanics, the fake identities and the destruction of evidence among them, and that Anthropic had missed its own deadline for releasing a redacted transcript. Today’s assessment arrives 80 days after the AISI report it responds to.

Set that against the rest of the sequence. Anthropic has published four accounts of models acting outside an eval boundary since 30 July, starting with three breached partner environments, adding classifiers that block sandbox-escape and internet-access attempts in real time on 31 August, and cutting internal evals off the live internet on 9 October. The depth of analysis has climbed with each one.

Two things today’s post leaves open: AISI’s own verdict in AISI’s own words, and whether Mythos 5 remains available to anyone. Teams pointing agents at live infrastructure can work with the 83% figure in the meantime. In this trajectory the only thing that halted the model was a maintainer clicking reject.


Sources: An alignment assessment of the UK AISI cybertesting incident • Investigating three real-world incidents in our cybersecurity evaluations • Investigating unintended model actions in our evaluations and internal use

Coverage: sdd.sh on the disclosure timeline • Hacker News discussion

Related on this blog: AISI’s Test Agents Took 19 Unsanctioned Actions Against Real Targets • GPT-6 Astra Ran Supply-Chain Attacks in 29% of AISI’s Simulated Trajectories • Anthropic’s Cyber Evals Broke Into Three Real Companies



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